24-25

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Tue Apr 1, 2025

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>The Bridger Range was pounded by new snow last night, with over a foot of new snow falling in the last 12 hours. It is snowing heavily now, and the forecast calls for an additional foot by tomorrow morning. <strong>You don’t need to be an avalanche forecaster to know that conditions are dangerous and will only get more so with additional snow. </strong></p>

<p>The largest and most dangerous avalanches will occur in wind-loaded terrain, where <strong>wind slab avalanches</strong> can break two feet deep and spread widely across slopes<strong>. </strong>Avoid terrain below corniced ridgelines where wind drifts are common and where you see evidence of recent wind-loading and instability, such as shooting cracks or textured or stiffened snow surface.</p>

<p>In non-wind-loaded terrain, <strong>storm slab avalanches </strong>can break within the new snow, and <strong>loose snow avalanches </strong>will start at a point, entraining significant volume as they race downhill. Watch for red flags, such as avalanching and shooting cracks, that indicate you should stay off steep terrain. Assess the snowpack for instability above the most recent melt-freeze crust with an extended column test as a final check.</p>

<p>The danger is rated CONSIDERABLE. Rapidly changing spring weather often leads to a dynamic evolution of avalanche conditions throughout the day. Regularly reassess conditions.</p>

<p>Snowfall totals in the mountains near Big Sky, West Yellowstone, Island Park, and Cooke City, and south of Bozeman have not matched the Bridger Range. There is up to 10 inches of snow around West Yellowstone and Island Park, and 4-6 inches elsewhere.</p>

<p>Human-triggered <strong>wind slab avalanches </strong>failing 1-2 feet deep on slopes with recent drifts are the primary concern, with high elevation slopes near ridgelines and below cornices being the most suspect. As skiers near Big Sky observed yesterday and Alex noted from Mount Blackmore, a stiffening of the snow surface or shooting cracks are indicators of potential instability (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34804"><strong><span>photo and info</span></strong></a>, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6qkMwPpVeg&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvToI_ir… from Mt. Blackmore</span></strong></a>).</p>

<p>On slopes unaffected by the wind, <strong>dry loose avalanches</strong> that start at a point and entrain more snow as they slide are possible. I spent my weekend in Cooke City, where we triggered these loose snow slides, or sluffs, on steep pitches. These smaller avalanches are dangerous where they could push skiers or riders into or off terrain features, causing injury or burial in gullies and against trees. If snowfall rates increase during the day, <strong>storm slab avalanches</strong> could break and propagate wider.</p>

<p>Watch and test for instability above the thick melt-freeze crust formed in late March, and evaluate the potential consequences of an avalanche before skiing and riding steep slopes.</p>

<p><span>The avalanche danger is MODERATE. </span></p>

Hyalite Road Closure

The Hyalite Canyon Road is closed to ALL MOTORIZED VEHICLES until the morning of May 16. This is a regular annual road closure to reduce road damage during the spring thaw. Bicycle and foot traffic are allowed. Contact the Bozeman Forest Service Ranger District for more info.

Wet Loose Avalanche Between Saddle Peak

Saddle Peak
Bridger Range
Code
WL-AS-R1-D1.5-I
Aspect
E
Latitude
45.79430
Longitude
-110.93600
Notes

Heavy, wet slide of recent snow released while skiing off South Saddle.

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Wet loose-snow avalanche
Trigger
Skier
R size
1
D size
1.5
Bed Surface
I - Interface between new and old snow
Problem Type
Loose Wet
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Heavy wet slough

Date
Activity
Skiing

Heavy, wet slide of recent snow released while skiing off South Saddle. Photo is from South Central.

Region
Bridger Range
Location (from list)
Saddle Peak
Observer Name
EV

Winter again in middle

Date
Activity
Skiing

Winter conditions in middle basin. Cracking in wind drifted pockets at the top of bat ears couloir and at the top of middle peak. Snowing hard all afternoon nearly filling in our skin track by the time we exited. 

Region
Northern Madison
Location (from list)
Middle Basin
Observer Name
Charlie Bayles

Point releases, wet loose in Beehive/Middle Basin

Beehive Basin
Northern Madison
Code
WL-N-R1-D1.5
Latitude
45.34070
Longitude
-111.39100
Notes

Toured around Beehive and Middle Basins this morning, finding predictably bulletproof snow on most aspects but decent turns aided by the 2-4 inches of snow from last night on northerly terrain that hadn’t been destroyed by the sun this week. There were a few brief moments of direct sun throughout the morning, which almost instantaneously triggered point releases from steeper rocky terrain. On the way back through Beehive we observed some much larger debris piles that weren’t there this morning from the steel rocky face between the Going Home chute and the prayer flags. 

Number of slides
3
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Wet loose-snow avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
1
D size
1.5
Problem Type
Loose Wet
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year

Dry Loose near Fairy Lake

Fairy Lake
Bridger Range
Code
L-AS-R1-D1.5-S
Elevation
8400
Latitude
45.90430
Longitude
-110.95800
Notes

Skied the north chutes above fairy lake around 8,400 ft. Found 8-12" of new snow, with the bottom 2" consisting of large graupel. In steep terrain our sluff entrained lots of snow making for some large debris piles. Overall the snow was generally well bonded.

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Loose-snow avalanche
Trigger
Skier
R size
1
D size
1.5
Bed Surface
S - Avalanche released within new snow
Problem Type
Loose Dry
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Transition to Spring in the Centennials

Date
Activity
Skiing

Skied Hellroaring Hut in the Centennials from Friday Mar 28 through Mon Mar 31.

Skied and observed all aspects between 7700' and 10,200' in the vicinity of Mt Jefferson and Reas Peak.

We had good visibility for three days and saw no signs of slab avalanches; no whumphing or cracking; and no signs of blowing or drifting snow (prior to new snow arriving today (Mar 31) snow surface was locked up with solid melt-freeze crusts on all aspects and elevations).

Snow surface starting to show meltwater runnels on S through E aspects below 9000'.

Test pits on N and S aspects at 9100' revealed moist snow under melt-freeze crusts (3" thick breakable crust on N aspects; 10" thick stout crust on S aspects) and no identifiable layers of concern in the upper 130 cm of the snowpack. HS 165 cm on S aspect at 9100' and HS 260 cm on N aspect at 9100'.

We observed pinwheels and predictable wet loose avalanches (D1 to D1.5) on solar aspects above 8000' on Fri and Sat.

Snow started this morning (3/31) and 2.5" of new snow had accumulated when we left at 11:00 a.m. Moderate to strong winds blowing from the south today.

Region
Island Park
Location (from list)
Hellroaring Creek
Observer Name
Alloway